Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.411666e-05 0.000040 0.000047 0.000055 0.000063 0.000072 0.000083
2025-02-23 2.589937e-05 0.000034 0.000043 0.000054 0.000067 0.000082 0.000100
2025-03-02 1.958236e-05 0.000028 0.000038 0.000052 0.000068 0.000087 0.000111
2025-03-09 1.551200e-05 0.000024 0.000035 0.000050 0.000069 0.000092 0.000122
2025-03-16 1.253034e-05 0.000021 0.000033 0.000049 0.000071 0.000097 0.000132
2025-03-23 1.040642e-05 0.000019 0.000031 0.000049 0.000072 0.000103 0.000144
2025-03-30 8.628032e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000048 0.000074 0.000108 0.000154
2025-04-06 6.928512e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000046 0.000074 0.000110 0.000161
2025-04-13 5.260820e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000043 0.000072 0.000110 0.000164
2025-04-20 4.175614e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000042 0.000071 0.000112 0.000171
2025-04-27 3.516193e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000042 0.000073 0.000117 0.000180
2025-05-04 2.991452e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000042 0.000075 0.000122 0.000191
2025-05-11 2.761209e-06 0.000009 0.000022 0.000044 0.000081 0.000134 0.000212
2025-05-18 2.182433e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000044 0.000083 0.000139 0.000225
2025-05-25 1.552347e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000042 0.000081 0.000141 0.000231
2025-06-01 1.141982e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000041 0.000081 0.000144 0.000240
2025-06-08 8.388807e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000040 0.000082 0.000147 0.000250
2025-06-15 6.324726e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000039 0.000083 0.000152 0.000262
2025-06-22 4.624992e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000039 0.000084 0.000157 0.000273
2025-06-29 3.058986e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000083 0.000158 0.000280
2025-07-06 1.696224e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000080 0.000157 0.000281
2025-07-13 9.950003e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000080 0.000158 0.000288
2025-07-20 6.566089e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000033 0.000081 0.000163 0.000300